I've been having a good amount of success at poker lately. I've come to a few conclusions about the game.
1) Most players aren't really watching you. They like to think of themselves as observant poker players, but they're too preoccupied with their own hands and strategies. Most poker players have written themselves a book, whether they know it or not, about how they will play in a given situation, and it doesn't matter how you've been playing all night, they'll still play the same way against you. This is the only way to explain how my retardedly simple "strategy," if you can call it that, worked tonight. More on that later.
2) Most players don't bluff. When real money's out there, few players have the balls to put a solid bet out when they don't have the cards. A few do, and more often than not, these players do it too frequently and pay for it.
OK, just two conclusions, but they're important ones. How I won $85 tonight:
1) I never played a hand that wasn't fantastic from the get-go, which means I folded 95% of my hands before the flop. I would play any pair, or
suited face cards.
2) If I got something on the flop, I'd check if it was nearly unbeatable, and bet if all I had was the high pair. Better to scare people way early than see a higher card come out.
3) Once some people were in, and I was certain I had the best hand, I'd bet everything I could. Very rarely was I even concerned that someone else had a better hand than me once I started betting.
I did the exact same thing all night, and you'd think people would have figured out that I
absolutely always had a hand, but they didn't. Well, by the end they did, but it was too late, I was busy building castles with my chips. It's interesting to note that this is also how I got so far in the poker tournament (2nd of 45 or so) a couple weekends ago. I folded most of my hands before the flop then too.
The funny thing is I know I'd get killed by real card sharks. They'd spot how tight I was playing right away, and I'd watch my pile slowly dwindle as I folded my blinds away, until I got desperate and they moved in for the kill. And I have no idea how to correctly play loose -- I get killed when I try -- so that would be a pretty hopeless situation.
If you were observant enough to find my blog, then congrats, you know how I'll be playing poker in the near future, and you'll know enough to fold when I start betting. Then, once I run this well dry, it's on to some new theory...